Lightning risk snapshot · Toms Brook, VA

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Current risk outlook

Lightning and thunderstorm risk for Toms Brook, VA.

Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.

This view focuses on how often thunderstorms fire near this city and where the most active lightning corridors tend to be.

Live risk outlook

ELEVATED

Elevated

Next 6–24 hours: Today: Elevated (73/100) · Rain 81% · Max wind 3 to 14 mph.

No active local alerts at this moment.

Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.

Historical risk score

Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.

24

/ 100

Lightning risk score24/100

For typical homes located in Toms Brook, VA.

Baseline context

Lightning exposure derived from ingested climatology tiles.

Local historical hazard map

Toms Brook, VA

Historical baseline tiles

Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.

Lightning intelligence snapshot

Lightning activity (NWS)

Lightning activity grid unavailable.

Source: NWS forecast grid.

Thunderstorm alerts (NWS)

No thunderstorm alerts right now.

Source: National Weather Service.

Forecast lightning mentions

Today

Showers And Thunderstorms

Friday

Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

Source: NWS forecast discussion.

SPC thunderstorm outlook

Day 1: None

Day 2: None

Day 3: None

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center.

5-day lightning & storm outlook

Today

ELEVATED

Rain chance: 81%

Max wind: 3 to 14 mph

Risk score: 73/100

Tomorrow

LOW

Rain chance: 0%

Max wind: 5 to 8 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Thu

LOW

Rain chance: 5%

Max wind: 2 to 9 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Fri

ELEVATED

Rain chance: 68%

Max wind: 5 mph

Risk score: 63/100

Sat

ELEVATED

Rain chance: 67%

Max wind: 1 to 5 mph

Risk score: 63/100

Historical lightning exposure

Historical lightning exposure in Toms Brook

  • Lightning risk follows thunderstorm frequency and storm-track corridors.
  • Outages often correlate with lightning clusters and strong wind gusts.
  • The highest-risk periods are typically during the warm-season storm cycle.

Lightning & storm risk FAQs for Toms Brook

Is lightning risk high in Toms Brook?

Lightning risk tracks thunderstorm frequency. Some corridors repeatedly see stronger convective activity and higher strike counts.

How should I interpret the lightning score?

Use it as a relative indicator of thunderstorm/lightning activity over time, not as a guarantee of a strike at a specific address.