More for Texas: Highest storm surge risk cities · Texas live outlook
Current risk outlook
Storm surge risk for South Padre Island, TX.
Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.
This view focuses on storm surge exposure patterns and coastal vulnerability near this city.
Live risk outlook
HIGHHigh
Next 6–24 hours: Today: High (90/100) · Rain 80–100% · Max wind 40–60 mph.
No active local alerts at this moment.
Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.
Historical risk score
Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.
92
/ 100
For typical homes located in South Padre Island, TX.
Baseline context
Storm surge exposure derived from NOAA SLOSH MOM (AGL) data.
Compare other local risks
See how South Padre Island scores across each hazard model.
City snapshot
All hazards combined
Flood risk
Heavy rain and low-lying flood exposure
Wind risk
Roof stress and gust-driven damage
AQI risk
Current air quality and AQI signal
Lightning risk
Thunderstorm and strike exposure
Wildfire risk
Fuels, dryness, and fire potential
Tornado risk
Historic tornado corridor exposure
Hail risk
Hail frequency and roof impact potential
Hurricane risk
Wind + surge + rain-driven flooding
Local historical hazard map
South Padre Island, TX
Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.
Surge intelligence snapshot
Nearest tide gauge (NOAA CO-OPS)
South Padre Island CG Station (8779748)
Distance from South Padre Island: 3 mi
Observed water level: 1.65 ft (MLLW)
Observed: local time
Source: NOAA CO-OPS.
NHC storm surge watch/warning
No NHC storm surge watch/warning posted.
Source: NHC advisory feed.
Coastal flood alerts (NWS)
No coastal flood alerts at this time.
Source: National Weather Service.
Wave & surf forecast
Next 24h max wave height: 2.00 ft
Peak time: 2026-05-11T20:00:00+00:00/PT9H
Source: NWS forecast grid.
Protect your home before the next storm
Use surge exposure to plan evacuation timing and coastal coverage in South Padre Island, TX.
5-day surge outlook
Today
HIGHRain chance: 80–100%
Max wind: 40–60 mph
Risk score: 90/100
Tomorrow
ELEVATEDRain chance: 60–80%
Max wind: 30–45 mph
Risk score: 75/100
Thu
MODERATERain chance: 30–60%
Max wind: 20–35 mph
Risk score: 50/100
Fri
MODERATERain chance: 30–60%
Max wind: 20–35 mph
Risk score: 50/100
Sat
LOWRain chance: 10–30%
Max wind: 10–25 mph
Risk score: 25/100
Historical storm surge exposure
Local surge data facts
Data from NOAA CO-OPS, NHC surge advisories, and NWS marine forecasts.
Historical storm surge exposure near South Padre Island
- Surge risk is highest near the coast and tidal waterways, and drops quickly inland.
- Wind direction and storm approach angle can be as important as storm category.
- Strong storms can create surge + rainfall flooding at the same time.
Storm surge FAQs for South Padre Island
Can storm surge affect South Padre Island?
Surge risk generally drops quickly inland, but tidal rivers and bays can still push water farther than expected in some storms.
Is storm surge the same as flooding?
Surge is ocean water pushed onshore by wind/pressure; flooding can also come from rainfall, rivers, and drainage issues.