Storm surge risk snapshot · Jarrell, TX

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Current risk outlook

Storm surge risk for Jarrell, TX.

Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.

This view focuses on storm surge exposure patterns and coastal vulnerability near this city.

Live risk outlook

HIGH

High

Next 6–24 hours: Today: High (90/100) · Rain 80–100% · Max wind 40–60 mph.

No active local alerts at this moment.

Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.

Historical risk score

Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.

0

/ 100

Storm surge risk score0/100

For typical homes located in Jarrell, TX.

Baseline context

Storm surge model is not available for this location yet.

Local historical hazard map

Jarrell, TX

Historical baseline tiles

Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.

Surge intelligence snapshot

Nearest tide gauge (NOAA CO-OPS)

Manchester (8770777)

Distance from Jarrell: 159 mi

Observed water level: 2.81 ft (MLLW)

Observed: local time

Source: NOAA CO-OPS.

NHC storm surge watch/warning

No NHC storm surge watch/warning posted.

Source: NHC advisory feed.

Coastal flood alerts (NWS)

No coastal flood alerts at this time.

Source: National Weather Service.

Wave & surf forecast

Observed wave height: 3.28 ft

Observed: local time

Buoy: Station 42035 (62 mi)

Source: NDBC buoy observations.

5-day surge outlook

Today

HIGH

Rain chance: 80–100%

Max wind: 40–60 mph

Risk score: 90/100

Tomorrow

ELEVATED

Rain chance: 60–80%

Max wind: 30–45 mph

Risk score: 75/100

Thu

MODERATE

Rain chance: 30–60%

Max wind: 20–35 mph

Risk score: 50/100

Fri

MODERATE

Rain chance: 30–60%

Max wind: 20–35 mph

Risk score: 50/100

Sat

LOW

Rain chance: 10–30%

Max wind: 10–25 mph

Risk score: 25/100

Historical storm surge exposure

Local surge data facts

Observed water level2.81 ft · 159 mi
Nearest buoy waves3.28 ft · 62 mi

Data from NOAA CO-OPS, NHC surge advisories, and NWS marine forecasts.

Historical storm surge exposure near Jarrell

  • Surge risk is highest near the coast and tidal waterways, and drops quickly inland.
  • Wind direction and storm approach angle can be as important as storm category.
  • Strong storms can create surge + rainfall flooding at the same time.

Storm surge FAQs for Jarrell

Can storm surge affect Jarrell?

Surge risk generally drops quickly inland, but tidal rivers and bays can still push water farther than expected in some storms.

Is storm surge the same as flooding?

Surge is ocean water pushed onshore by wind/pressure; flooding can also come from rainfall, rivers, and drainage issues.