Flood risk snapshot · Winter Garden, FL

More for Florida: Highest flood risk cities · Florida live outlook

Current risk outlook

Flooding and heavy rain risk for Winter Garden, FL.

Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.

This view focuses on street flooding, ponding in low-lying areas, and how heavy rain tends to behave around this city.

Live risk outlook

LOW

Low

Next 6–24 hours: Today: Low (10/100) · Rain 1% · 0.0 in · Max wind 15 mph.

1 active alert nearby.

Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.

Historical risk score

Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.

39

/ 100

Flood risk score39/100

For typical homes located in Winter Garden, FL.

Baseline context

FEMA NFHL flood zones: 13 features intersect this tile.

Local hazard map

Winter Garden, FL

Tile rasters

Click a tile to update scores. These layers are for awareness and are not a replacement for official NWS / NHC warnings.

Live flood alerts & official forecast (NWS)

Forecast office: MLB · radar KMLB

Active alerts near Winter Garden

Red Flag Warning

Effective local time

Red Flag Warning issued February 26 at 10:31AM EST until February 26 at 6:00PM EST by NWS Melbourne FL

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Flood intelligence snapshot

FEMA flood zones (NFHL)

Dominant zone: A (37% of features)

SFHA share: 65% (feature-weighted)

NFHL features in tile: 252

Tile risk label: Elevated

Source: FEMA NFHL (MapServer).

Nearest river gauge (USGS)

No nearby USGS gauges reporting right now.

Source: USGS NWIS (instant values).

Soil saturation (model)

Soil moisture: 3% volumetric

Last 24h rain: 0.00 in

Updated: local time

Source: Open-Meteo soil model (proxy).

5-day flood & rain outlook

Today

LOW

Rain chance: 1% · 0.0 in

Max wind: 15 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Tomorrow

MODERATE

Rain chance: 41% · 0.7 in

Max wind: 5 to 10 mph

Risk score: 38/100

Sat

MODERATE

Rain chance: 74% · 0.2 in

Max wind: 5 mph

Risk score: 40/100

Sun

LOW

Rain chance: 16%

Max wind: 5 to 10 mph

Risk score: 16/100

Mon

LOW

Rain chance: 17%

Max wind: 5 to 10 mph

Risk score: 17/100

Outlook blends NWS forecast, WPC QPF totals, and Excessive Rainfall Outlook categories.

Historical flooding exposure

Local flood data facts

NFHL features in this tile252
Dominant FEMA zoneA (37%)
SFHA share of features65%
Soil moisture (topsoil)3% · 0.00 in rain

Data from FEMA NFHL, USGS gauges, and Open-Meteo soil moisture.

Historical flooding exposure in Winter Garden

  • Lowest-lying streets and drainage chokepoints tend to flood first during heavy rain.
  • Long-duration rainfall can raise ponding risk even without a named storm.
  • Local elevation and canal/river networks can amplify or reduce flood impacts.

Flood & storm risk FAQs for Winter Garden

Does Winter Garden flood often?

Flooding risk depends on elevation, drainage, and rainfall intensity. This model summarizes localized flood patterns from public datasets.

What causes street flooding without a storm surge?

Short bursts of heavy rain can overwhelm drains; longer events can saturate soils and keep water standing even after rain ends.