More for Florida: Highest flood risk cities · Florida live outlook
Current risk outlook
Flooding and heavy rain risk for Patrick AFB, FL.
Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.
This view focuses on street flooding, ponding in low-lying areas, and how heavy rain tends to behave around this city.
Live risk outlook
MODERATEModerate
Next 6–24 hours: Today: Moderate (36/100) · Rain 46% · 0.4 in · Max wind 5 to 10 mph.
1 active alert nearby.
Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.
Historical risk score
Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.
43
/ 100
For typical homes located in Patrick AFB, FL.
Baseline context
FEMA NFHL flood zones: 19 features intersect this tile.
Compare other local risks
See how Patrick AFB scores across each hazard model.
City snapshot
All hazards combined
Wind risk
Roof stress and gust-driven damage
Storm surge risk
Coastal inundation and tidal vulnerability
AQI risk
Current air quality and AQI signal
Lightning risk
Thunderstorm and strike exposure
Wildfire risk
Fuels, dryness, and fire potential
Tornado risk
Historic tornado corridor exposure
Hail risk
Hail frequency and roof impact potential
Hurricane risk
Wind + surge + rain-driven flooding
Local historical hazard map
Patrick AFB, FL
Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.
Live flood alerts & official forecast (NWS)
Forecast office: MLB · radar KMLB
Active alerts near Patrick AFB
Special Marine Warning
Effective local time
Special Marine Warning issued July 12 at 3:14PM EDT until July 12 at 4:45PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Move to safe harbor immediately as gusty winds and high waves are expected. Frequent cloud to water lightning is occurring with these storms. If caught on the open water stay below deck and, if possible, avoid ungrounded metal objects. Remember, lightning can strike beyond 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Protect your home before the next storm
Turn today’s risk into a checklist for your home.
Flood intelligence snapshot
FEMA flood zones (NFHL)
Dominant zone: X (81% of features)
SFHA share: 19% (feature-weighted)
NFHL features in tile: 644
Tile risk label: Low
Source: FEMA NFHL (MapServer).
Nearest river gauge (USGS)
HORSE CREEK NR MELBOURNE,FL (02248900)
Stage: 6.76 ft
Discharge: 2 ft3/s
Observed: local time
Distance from Patrick AFB: 6 mi
Source: USGS NWIS (instant values).
Soil saturation (model)
Soil moisture: 30% volumetric
Last 24h rain: 1.76 in
Updated: local time
Source: Open-Meteo soil model (proxy).
Protect your home before the next storm
Turn today's flood exposure into a checklist for drains, valuables, and coverage in Patrick AFB, FL.
5-day flood & rain outlook
Today
MODERATERain chance: 46% · 0.4 in
Max wind: 5 to 10 mph
Risk score: 36/100
Tomorrow
LOWRain chance: 52% · 0.1 in
Max wind: 5 to 10 mph
Risk score: 31/100
Tue
LOWRain chance: 24% · 0.0 in
Max wind: 5 to 10 mph
Risk score: 20/100
Wed
LOWRain chance: 13%
Max wind: 5 to 10 mph
Risk score: 15/100
Thu
LOWRain chance: 11%
Max wind: 5 to 10 mph
Risk score: 14/100
Outlook blends NWS forecast, WPC QPF totals, and Excessive Rainfall Outlook categories.
Historical flooding exposure
Local flood data facts
Data from FEMA NFHL, USGS gauges, and Open-Meteo soil moisture.
Historical flooding exposure in Patrick AFB
- Lowest-lying streets and drainage chokepoints tend to flood first during heavy rain.
- Long-duration rainfall can raise ponding risk even without a named storm.
- Local elevation and canal/river networks can amplify or reduce flood impacts.
Flood & storm risk FAQs for Patrick AFB
Does Patrick AFB flood often?
Flooding risk depends on elevation, drainage, and rainfall intensity. This model summarizes localized flood patterns from public datasets.
What causes street flooding without a storm surge?
Short bursts of heavy rain can overwhelm drains; longer events can saturate soils and keep water standing even after rain ends.