Flood risk snapshot · Garcon Point, FL

More for Florida: Highest flood risk cities · Florida live outlook

Current risk outlook

Flooding and heavy rain risk for Garcon Point, FL.

Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.

This view focuses on street flooding, ponding in low-lying areas, and how heavy rain tends to behave around this city.

Live risk outlook

MODERATE

Moderate

Next 6–24 hours: Today: Moderate (38/100) · Rain 51% · 0.3 in · Max wind 5 to 15 mph.

3 active alerts nearby.

Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.

Historical risk score

Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.

34

/ 100

Flood risk score34/100

For typical homes located in Garcon Point, FL.

Baseline context

FEMA NFHL flood zones: 12 features intersect this tile.

Local historical hazard map

Garcon Point, FL

Historical baseline tiles

Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.

Live flood alerts & official forecast (NWS)

Forecast office: MOB · radar KEVX

Active alerts near Garcon Point

Special Weather Statement

Effective local time

Special Weather Statement issued July 12 at 9:45AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Special Marine Warning

Effective local time

Special Marine Warning issued July 12 at 9:00AM CDT until July 12 at 10:30AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Frequent lightning is occurring with this storm. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible, keep away from ungrounded metal objects.

Rip Current Statement

Effective local time

Rip Current Statement issued July 12 at 2:15AM CDT until July 15 at 6:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Flood intelligence snapshot

FEMA flood zones (NFHL)

Dominant zone: X (46% of features)

SFHA share: 54% (feature-weighted)

NFHL features in tile: 107

Tile risk label: Elevated

Source: FEMA NFHL (MapServer).

Nearest river gauge (USGS)

YELLOW RIVER NR MILTON, FLA. (02369600)

Stage: 38.57 ft

Discharge: 1,470 ft3/s

Observed: local time

Distance from Garcon Point: 12 mi

Source: USGS NWIS (instant values).

Soil saturation (model)

Soil moisture: 20% volumetric

Last 24h rain: 0.00 in

Updated: local time

Source: Open-Meteo soil model (proxy).

5-day flood & rain outlook

Today

MODERATE

Rain chance: 51% · 0.3 in

Max wind: 5 to 15 mph

Risk score: 38/100

Tomorrow

MODERATE

Rain chance: 81% · 0.4 in

Max wind: 5 to 15 mph

Risk score: 50/100

Tue

MODERATE

Rain chance: 75% · 0.2 in

Max wind: 5 to 15 mph

Risk score: 40/100

Wed

LOW

Rain chance: 38%

Max wind: 5 to 15 mph

Risk score: 25/100

Thu

LOW

Rain chance: 18%

Max wind: 5 to 10 mph

Risk score: 17/100

Outlook blends NWS forecast, WPC QPF totals, and Excessive Rainfall Outlook categories.

Historical flooding exposure

Local flood data facts

NFHL features in this tile107
Dominant FEMA zoneX (46%)
SFHA share of features54%
Nearest USGS gauge12 mi · 38.57 ft

Data from FEMA NFHL, USGS gauges, and Open-Meteo soil moisture.

Historical flooding exposure in Garcon Point

  • Lowest-lying streets and drainage chokepoints tend to flood first during heavy rain.
  • Long-duration rainfall can raise ponding risk even without a named storm.
  • Local elevation and canal/river networks can amplify or reduce flood impacts.

Flood & storm risk FAQs for Garcon Point

Does Garcon Point flood often?

Flooding risk depends on elevation, drainage, and rainfall intensity. This model summarizes localized flood patterns from public datasets.

What causes street flooding without a storm surge?

Short bursts of heavy rain can overwhelm drains; longer events can saturate soils and keep water standing even after rain ends.