Wildfire risk snapshot · Likely, CA

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Current risk outlook

Wildfire risk for Likely, CA.

Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.

This view summarizes wildfire exposure based on fuels, seasonal dryness, and regional fire patterns. Dedicated wildfire baselines are rolling out.

Live risk outlook

ELEVATED

Elevated

Next 6–24 hours: Dryness and wind signal: Elevated (70/100) · RH 29% · Wind 2 mph · Rain chance 2%.

1 active fire weather alert · 121 active fire points within 50 mi.

Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.

Historical risk score

Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.

63

/ 100

Wildfire risk score63/100

For typical homes located in Likely, CA.

Baseline context

Wildfire exposure derived from ingested fire potential tiles.

Active fire & smoke

121

within 50 mi

Nearest

37 mi

Smoke plume

No smoke plume detected

Dryness and wind signal

Elevated (70/100)

RH 29% · Wind 2 mph · Rain 2%

NOAA HMS · fires Jul 12 · smoke Jul 11

Local historical hazard map

Likely, CA

Historical wildfire tiles

Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.

Live fire weather signals

Elevated signal

Fire weather alerts near Likely

Red Flag Warning

Effective local time

Red Flag Warning issued July 12 at 12:24AM PDT until July 12 at 9:00PM PDT by NWS Medford OR

Follow all fire restrictions. You can find your county's emergency sign up form as well as links to fire restrictions at weather.gov/medford/wildfire. One less spark, one less wildfire. Be sure you're signed up for your county's emergency alert system. Familiarize yourself with your emergency plan and make sure you listen to emergency services. Visit ready.gov/plan for more information. A Red Flag Warning is issued when we identify weather conditions that promote rapid spread of fire which may become life- threatening. This does not mean there is a fire. These conditions are either occurring now or will begin soon. It is important to have multiple ways to receive information from authorities.

Live dryness and wind

Elevated (70/100)

RH 29% · Wind 2 mph · Current rain 0.0 mm · Rain chance 2%

View full NWS forecast →

Source: National Weather Service.

Wildfire readiness checklist

  • Clear dry debris within 5 ft of structures.
  • Trim branches 6–10 ft from roofs and chimneys.
  • Move wood piles and propane tanks 30+ ft away.
  • Clean gutters and ember screens before peak season.

Prioritize defensible space, ember hardening, and evacuation routes.

5-day weather outlook

Today

LOW

Rain chance: 4%

Max wind: 3 to 20 mph

Risk score: 20/100

Tomorrow

LOW

Rain chance: 16%

Max wind: 2 to 10 mph

Risk score: 18/100

Tue

MODERATE

Rain chance: 28%

Max wind: 1 to 7 mph

Risk score: 43/100

Wed

LOW

Rain chance: 1%

Max wind: 1 to 14 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Thu

LOW

Rain chance: 1%

Max wind: 1 to 12 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Historical wildfire exposure

Local wildfire data facts

Wildfire tile key-1206,412
Baseline tile score63/100
Active fire detections121 within 50 mi · nearest 37 mi
Smoke plume statusNo smoke plume detected

Baseline wildfire potential from USFS hazard potential tiles, plus live dryness, wind, fire, smoke, and NWS fire weather alerts.

Historical wildfire exposure near Likely

  • Wildfire risk tracks fuel availability, drought stress, and wind-driven spread.
  • Local topography can funnel flames and embers into specific corridors.
  • Seasonality matters: prolonged dry spells raise ignition and spread risk.

Wildfire risk FAQs for Likely

Can wildfire affect Likely?

Wildfire exposure depends on nearby fuels, dryness, and wind patterns. This view summarizes regional conditions and seasonal drivers.

What drives wildfire spread risk?

Dry fuels, wind, slope, and prolonged heat create the highest spread potential. Defensible space and ember resistance reduce damage risk.