Flood risk snapshot · Tucson Estates, AZ

More for Arizona: Highest flood risk cities · Arizona live outlook

Current risk outlook

Flooding and heavy rain risk for Tucson Estates, AZ.

Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.

This view focuses on street flooding, ponding in low-lying areas, and how heavy rain tends to behave around this city.

Live risk outlook

LOW

Low

Next 6–24 hours: Today: Low (11/100) · Rain 2% · 0.0 in · Max wind 6 to 20 mph.

1 active alert nearby.

Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.

Historical risk score

Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.

84

/ 100

Flood risk score84/100

For typical homes located in Tucson Estates, AZ.

Baseline context

FEMA NFHL flood zones: 21 features intersect this tile.

Local historical hazard map

Tucson Estates, AZ

Historical baseline tiles

Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.

Live flood alerts & official forecast (NWS)

Forecast office: TWC · radar KEMX

Active alerts near Tucson Estates

Red Flag Warning

Effective local time

Red Flag Warning issued June 26 at 1:09AM MST until June 28 at 8:00PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire growth. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

Flood intelligence snapshot

FEMA flood zones (NFHL)

Dominant zone: AO (44% of features)

SFHA share: 68% (feature-weighted)

NFHL features in tile: 206

Tile risk label: Elevated

Source: FEMA NFHL (MapServer).

Nearest river gauge (USGS)

No nearby USGS gauges reporting right now.

Source: USGS NWIS (instant values).

Soil saturation (model)

Soil moisture data unavailable right now.

Source: Open-Meteo soil model (proxy).

5-day flood & rain outlook

Today

LOW

Rain chance: 2% · 0.0 in

Max wind: 6 to 20 mph

Risk score: 11/100

Tomorrow

LOW

Rain chance: 0% · 0.0 in

Max wind: 9 to 22 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Sun

LOW

Rain chance: 0% · 0.0 in

Max wind: 12 to 22 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Mon

LOW

Rain chance: 0%

Max wind: 10 to 21 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Tue

LOW

Rain chance: 1%

Max wind: 9 to 20 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Outlook blends NWS forecast, WPC QPF totals, and Excessive Rainfall Outlook categories.

Historical flooding exposure

Local flood data facts

NFHL features in this tile206
Dominant FEMA zoneAO (44%)
SFHA share of features68%

Data from FEMA NFHL, USGS gauges, and Open-Meteo soil moisture.

Historical flooding exposure in Tucson Estates

  • Lowest-lying streets and drainage chokepoints tend to flood first during heavy rain.
  • Long-duration rainfall can raise ponding risk even without a named storm.
  • Local elevation and canal/river networks can amplify or reduce flood impacts.

Flood & storm risk FAQs for Tucson Estates

Does Tucson Estates flood often?

Flooding risk depends on elevation, drainage, and rainfall intensity. This model summarizes localized flood patterns from public datasets.

What causes street flooding without a storm surge?

Short bursts of heavy rain can overwhelm drains; longer events can saturate soils and keep water standing even after rain ends.