Flood risk snapshot · Flagstaff, AZ

More for Arizona: Highest flood risk cities · Arizona live outlook

Current risk outlook

Flooding and heavy rain risk for Flagstaff, AZ.

Live conditions updated just now. Refreshes every 5–40 minutes.

This view focuses on street flooding, ponding in low-lying areas, and how heavy rain tends to behave around this city.

Live risk outlook

LOW

Low

Next 6–24 hours: Today: Low (26/100) · Rain 41% · 0.1 in · Max wind 6 to 21 mph.

1 active alert nearby.

Sources: NOAA, NWS, SPC, NHC, FEMA, USGS.

Historical risk score

Long-term baseline derived from historical hazard activity.

43

/ 100

Flood risk score43/100

For typical homes located in Flagstaff, AZ.

Baseline context

FEMA NFHL flood zones: 7 features intersect this tile.

Local historical hazard map

Flagstaff, AZ

Historical baseline tiles

Click a tile to update scores. These layers show long-term historical baseline risk, not live warnings or short-term forecast risk.

Live flood alerts & official forecast (NWS)

Forecast office: FGZ · radar KFSX

Active alerts near Flagstaff

Fire Weather Watch

Effective local time

Fire Weather Watch issued June 24 at 12:12AM MST until June 28 at 8:00PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are possible. These conditions could promote the rapid spread and growth of wildfires, which could become life-threatening. For forecast updates, go to weather.gov/flagstaff. If you have not packed your go kit yet, now is the time to do so. This includes items like important documents and essentials you cannot live without. Fill your vehicle's fuel tank. Visit ready.gov/kit for more information. Obey all fire restrictions. To view a map of current fire restrictions, go to wildlandfire.az.gov/fire-restrictions. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Fire Weather Watch.

Flood intelligence snapshot

FEMA flood zones (NFHL)

Dominant zone: AE (57% of features)

SFHA share: 64% (feature-weighted)

NFHL features in tile: 376

Tile risk label: Elevated

Source: FEMA NFHL (MapServer).

Nearest river gauge (USGS)

No nearby USGS gauges reporting right now.

Source: USGS NWIS (instant values).

Soil saturation (model)

Soil moisture: 11% volumetric

Last 24h rain: 0.00 in

Updated: local time

Source: Open-Meteo soil model (proxy).

5-day flood & rain outlook

Today

LOW

Rain chance: 41% · 0.1 in

Max wind: 6 to 21 mph

Risk score: 26/100

Tomorrow

LOW

Rain chance: 1% · 0.0 in

Max wind: 14 to 28 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Sat

LOW

Rain chance: 0% · 0.0 in

Max wind: 22 to 32 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Sun

LOW

Rain chance: 0%

Max wind: 23 to 30 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Mon

LOW

Rain chance: 0%

Max wind: 9 to 20 mph

Risk score: 10/100

Outlook blends NWS forecast, WPC QPF totals, and Excessive Rainfall Outlook categories.

Historical flooding exposure

Local flood data facts

NFHL features in this tile376
Dominant FEMA zoneAE (57%)
SFHA share of features64%
Soil moisture (topsoil)11% · 0.00 in rain

Data from FEMA NFHL, USGS gauges, and Open-Meteo soil moisture.

Historical flooding exposure in Flagstaff

  • Lowest-lying streets and drainage chokepoints tend to flood first during heavy rain.
  • Long-duration rainfall can raise ponding risk even without a named storm.
  • Local elevation and canal/river networks can amplify or reduce flood impacts.

Flood & storm risk FAQs for Flagstaff

Does Flagstaff flood often?

Flooding risk depends on elevation, drainage, and rainfall intensity. This model summarizes localized flood patterns from public datasets.

What causes street flooding without a storm surge?

Short bursts of heavy rain can overwhelm drains; longer events can saturate soils and keep water standing even after rain ends.